MARKET INSIGHT POST
Q1-2023 Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Market Update
Forte Vice President, Katie Trevena, Principal, lends insight to the Twin Cities office market report recently released by MNCAR/REDI.
Overall vacancy rates continued to increase in Q1 2023 as large corporate users continued to downsize to reduced footprints and more subleases came to the market. Most of the sublease availability remains in the CBD but market-wide sublease availability is at a record high. Subleases typically provide built-out improvements, many are furnished and offered at an aggressive rate. Landlords will have to compete with these spaces which is why we continue to see spec suites come available. Class A product saw a slight increase in vacancy but continues to achieve high rental rates to offset high construction costs of adding amenities and a high-quality experience which prospective tenants now require. Class B & C products will continue to be challenged with declining occupancy and rental rates.
Q1-2023 Office Market Update
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW:
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the unemployment rate for the Mpls-St Paul metropolitan statistical area (MSA) increased 80 basis points to 3.2% for February 2023 from 2.4% for February 2022. The unemployment rate for the US was at 3.6% in February 2023 down from 3.8% last year. State of Minnesota unemployment rate was 3.0%. The Mpls-St Paul MSA saw a decrease in job growth as well as a decrease in office job growth in professional, financial and information with 6,600 during the same period.
MARKET OVERVIEW:
The Mpls-St Paul office market, consisting of 128.6 msf of space in seven metro counties. This region posted (415,000) sf of negative absorption for Q1 2023 and shows an overall vacancy rate of 16.3% for all properties. This quarter showed (369,300) sf of direct negative absorption while subleases accounted for (47,800) sf negative absorption. Multi-tenant only properties posted 21.3% vacancy with (417,000) sf negative absorption. There was (371,000) sf negative absorption for direct space, and (47,800) sf negative absorption for subleases. During Q1 2023 there were 16 construction projects throughout the market totaling 840,000. Three properties have been delivered YTD with 72,000 sf.
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS:
During Q1 2023, the market experienced over 1.275 msf of leasing activity in 335 transactions. Year-over-Year the vacancy rate for multi-tenant direct Class A properties has increased from 15.4% Q1 2022 to 16.9% Q1 2023. For direct leasing Mpls CBD markets posted (191,000) sf negative absorption. The suburban markets posted (116,000) sf negative absorption and St Paul CBD posted (61,000) sf negative absorption.
MPLS-ST. PAUL AREA EMPLOYMENT STATS:
MARKET RECAP:
All Properties:
Total Inventory: 128,657,855 sf
Total # of Buildings: 1,044
Absorption: (415,057) sf
Vacancy: 16.3%
Asking Rate: $26.54 NNN
New Construction: 840,483 sf
Multi-Tenant Properties
Total Inventory: 89,935,400 sf
Total # of Buildings: 846
Absorption: (417,057)
Vacancy: 21.3%
Asking Rate: $26.55
MARKET STATS BY BUILDING CLASS
(Multi and Single Tenant)
ABSORPTION & VACANCY RATE
(Multi and Single Tenant)
MARKET STATISTICS BY MARKET
(Direct Multi and Single Tenant)
VACANCY RATES BY MARKET
(Direct Multi and Single Tenant)
VACANCY RATES BY BUILDING CLASS
(Multi and Single Tenant)
LEASE RATES BY MARKET
(Direct Multi and Single Tenant FSG)
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
YEAR-TO-DATE DELIVERIES
MARKET MAP
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